šŸŒŠ The Great JFK Disclosure

Plus: AI getting faster, Israel resumes airstrikes, & the decline of Evangelical power

Happy Least Productive Month!

Thanks to March Madness, March takes the crown for the least productive month. Apparently watching 12 hours of basketball and placing bets on Lipscomb moneyline is not great for the economy. In fact, today and tomorrow alone will cost the US an estimated $20B in lost productivity. Now, to that the fact that my Uncle Gary is live tweeting his 80,000-page read through of the JFK files in my family group chat (no, Uncle Gary, JFK was not vaxxed), and my productivity is about to tank even more.

šŸ§ JFK files released

šŸ‡®šŸ‡± Israel resumes airstrikes

šŸŽ„ How Evangelicals lost their power

ā€“Max and Max

KEY STORY

Congoā€™s Secret Offer

The president of the Democratic Republic of the Congo (DRC) secretly offered the US access to critical minerals in exchange for military support against a rebel group

  • The DRC is considered Africaā€™s most resource-rich country, with vast deposits of critical minerals. It has faced a fierce military offensive from M23, a paramilitary rebel group backed by Rwanda since 2022

  • On Wednesday, The Wall Street Journal reported that the DRCā€™s president secretly offered President Trump access to its minerals in return for a ā€œformal security pactā€ to help defeat M23, but did not specify the exact nature of US military support

Dig Deeper 

  • The DRCā€™s presidentā€™s offer was sent as he was in talks with Erik Prince, the founder of the US mercenary company Blackwater (now Constellis), to provide security assistance for the government and mining companies

  • Thereā€™s no indication that Trump is considering it

KEY STORY

AI Getting Faster

A new study found that AI models have advanced in their ability to beat humans in technical tasks

  • Since 2019, an AI research non-profit has tested 13 AI modelsā€™ ā€œtask-completion time horizonā€ ā€” the time it takes human experts to complete coding, general reasoning, and machine learning tasks

  • They found that since 2019, the models completed twice as complex tasks every seven months. In 2024, the rate accelerated to every three months

  • In 2019, OpenAIā€™s model failed all tasks that took humans 1 minute. Anthropicā€™s new model reliably completed 50% of tasks that took people 59 minutes

Dig Deeper

  • The researchers posit that AI models will be able to complete tasks that take humans about a month at 50% reliability by 2029 or sooner, assuming the 2019-2024 rate of progress

  • They found that the best models currently operate at a 40-minute time horizon, which doesnā€™t provide substantial economically valuable work, but this could change in the coming years

QUOTE OF THE DAY

If men were angels, no government would be necessary

James Madison

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KEY STORY

JFK Files

The National Archives released a batch of ~1,100 files, roughly 31,000 pages, related to President John F. Kennedyā€™s assassination

  • Congress ordered the release of all records related to JFKā€™s assassination in 1992. The National Archives has said 99% have since been released, but many were heavily redacted

  • On Tuesday night, the Trump Administration released unredacted documents on JFKā€™s assassination and CIA operations in the 1960s, particularly in Latin America and Cuba

  • Early analysis of the files found that most have been previously released, though new information could be uncovered as the documents are reviewed or if more are released

Dig Deeper

  • Much of the previously classified information focuses on the CIAā€™s operations in Latin America, particularly regarding Cuba and Fidel Castro

  • Some documents detail operations to overthrow Castro, including one from 1964 describing two CIA assets discussing assassinating Castro during Lyndon B. Johnsonā€™s presidency, though it says that plan was "shelved" due to opposition from RFK, the then-attorney general

KEY STORY

Israel Resumes War

Israeli forces launched a ground operation in Gaza, resuming the war against Hamas

  • On Tuesday, the ceasefire ended after Israel carried out major airstrikes in Gaza, allegedly targeting Hamas positions but killing a reported 400+ people

  • After the strikes, Israeli PM Netanyahu said, ā€œFrom now on, Israel will act against Hamas with increasing force. From now on, negotiations will only take place under fireā€

  • On Wednesday, Israeli forces seized the Netzarim Corridor, which splits Gaza in half, to expand ā€œthe security areaā€ and create a ā€œbuffer zone.ā€ Israel has said it will soon resume evacuations of Gazans

Dig Deeper

  • In a "final warningā€ message to Gaza residents, Israelā€™s defense minister said, ā€œWhat comes next will be much harsher, and you will bear the full consequencesā€

  • He added, ā€œSoon, the evacuation of the population from combat zones will resume. If all Israeli hostages are not released and Hamas is not removed from Gaza, Israel will act with force beyond anything you have ever seenā€

RUNDOWN
Some Quick Stories for the Office

šŸ“± Apple announced that it will begin providing end-to-end encryption for messages sent between Apple and Android devices

šŸ§‘ā€šŸŽ“ In his first public statement, Mahmoud Khalil, the Palestinian student and green card holder detained by ICE for his role in pro-Palestine protests at Columbia University, called himself a ā€œpolitical prisonerā€

šŸŖ– After a call between Presidents Trump and Zelensky on Wednesday, Ukraine agreed to a 30-day ceasefire prohibiting attacks on civilian and energy infrastructure

šŸ“‰ The Federal Reserve held interest rates steady at 4.3% while simultaneously raising its inflation and lowering its GDP growth projections for 2025

šŸŠā€ā™€ļø The Trump Administration paused $175M in federal grants and funding to the University of Pennsylvania for allowing a transgender athlete to compete on its womenā€™s swimming team

What does Roca Nation think?

šŸ§  Yesterdayā€™s Question: If you took over the Democratic Party, whatā€™s one thing you would change to make it more popular?

As a lifelong Democrat, the first thing I would do is come out as a party to say that it should not be partisan to want toxins removed from our foods or to be against men competing in womenā€™s sports. Those two subjects should not be partisan. They should just be common sense and a common sense approach is the direction the party needs to be moving towards.

Also, half the country isnā€™t racist, letā€™s stop saying it is.

And then I would go down the line to find common ground on as many issues as possible, because citizens did not vote in Democrats to simply pout and hold up signs with clever catchphrases. Elected officials need to DO THE WORK. Find common ground with dare I say it ā€“ Republicans. And get as much common sense legislation passed that we can. This eagerness to work together will help us move forward with other more controversial bills as well.

Greg from New Jersey

I would split it in half. There's no reason AOC and Chuck Schumer should have to be in the same party. The Progressives and Moderate Democrats have completely different ideas a out how to make the party electable, so why not make each their own party? As long as they only put forward one presidential candidate and one candidate in battleground states, they won't have to worry about splitting the vote. But people in places like California should get a real choice in who they elect for senators and governor, instead of "Democrat" and "the idiot who thinks a republican can win California."

Katherine from Sacramento

Democrat popularity is at an all-time low because they don't care about their constituents and most are out of touch with voters. They continue to run candidates with corporate ties that don't plan on changing anything.

Republicans can at least do a good job at spinning the story in their favor.

Derrik from Missouri

šŸ§ Todayā€™s Question: If you took over the Republican Party, whatā€™s one thing you would change to make it more popular?

POPCORN
Some Quick Stories for Happy Hour

āš½ US Soccerā€™s Relegation Experiment: The United Soccer League plans to become the first US professional sports league to adopt promotion and relegation, distinguishing itself from MLS' closed system

šŸ’µ Fossil Fumble: A professor is suing his university after his collection of 380M-year-old fossils ended up in a landfill because the university failed to pay its UPS bills

šŸš½ Royal Flush: Two men have been convicted for the 2019 theft of an 18-carat gold toilet worth $6.2M from the birthplace of Winston Churchill, where it was installed as part of an art exhibition

šŸŸ 'Fish Doorbell' Goes Viral: A Dutch city installed a live-streamed "fish doorbell," allowing viewers to alert authorities when fish need to pass through a river lock during their spring migration, attracting millions of viewers

šŸŠ Reptile Retreat: Michigan police responded to a motel after housekeeping discovered a live alligator under the bed in a recently vacated room

ROCA WRAP
A Threatening Mayor

Istanbul

This city's popular mayor was detained in a dawn raid.

Istanbul, Turkey's largest city and cultural heart, straddles Europe and Asia across the Bosphorus Strait. The metropolis of 16M has historically been a political launching pad, with President Recep Tayyip Erdogan himself rising to national prominence after serving as its mayor in the 1990s.

In 2019, the opposition gained control of this crucial city for the first time in Erdogan's era, marking a significant political shift.

Ekrem Imamoglu, Istanbul's popular opposition mayor, was detained early Wednesday morning when police raided his residence. The arrest comes just days before Imamoglu was expected to be chosen as his party's 2028 presidential candidate.

He faces accusations of terrorism, money laundering, and other financial crimes. Many say the allegations are politically motivated.

Imamoglu won re-election last year and has built a reputation as the most effective opposition leader in the country. The night before his arrest, though, Istanbul University revoked his diploma, citing irregularities ā€“ a move that would prevent him from running for president.

The mayor condemned the actions as a "coup against the will of the people" and called on supporters to resist. On Wednesday, anti-government protests broke out, prompting authorities to quickly declare a ban on public demonstrations and close roads and some metro lines.

Analysts view the arrest as a potential turning point, potentially undermining what remains of competitive electoral politics in Turkey.

For a city that is no stranger to power struggles, this latest battle for Istanbul may prove one of its most consequential yet.

EDITORā€™S NOTE
How Evangelicals Lost the Republican Party

For the last half century, thereā€™s been no force more influential in the Republican Party than Evangelical Christians. But in this Trump term, they are nowhere to be found. This is the fascinating story of Evangelical Christians on the right, featuring an interview with Reverend Matthew Kaemingk of the Fuller Seminary.

EDITORā€™S NOTE
Final Thoughts

We wish all of your brackets the best of luck, and we would like to extend that luck the liquor cabinets of those whose brackets are broken before the clocks strikes 3. Remember, itā€™s all just for fun, although we did place all the Roca savings on Lipscomb moneyline.

Have a wonderful day, and thank you for reading Roca!

ā€“Max and Max